Michael Höfler (PhD)
Michael Höfler (PhD)
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I am interested in how psychological science can become more falsifiable and more transparent in its assumptions, particularly when investigating causal effects.
Academic experience
| Since 2017 | Research associate, Chair for Clinical Psychology and Behavioral Neuroscience, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany |
| 2006-2017 | Research associate, Institute for Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany |
| 1999-2005 | Research associate, research group Clinical Psychology and Epidemiology, Max Planck Institute for Psychiatry, Munich, Germany |
Education
|
2007 |
Dissertation (Dr.phil.; Ph.D.), Universität Basel, Switzerland |
| 1997 | Diploma in Statistics, Ludwig Maximilians Universität, Munich, Germany |
Ongoing projects
- Evaluate what is claimed to be confirmed: A falsification assessment form (FAF). Preprint The FAF, version 1.0 SIPS Commendation Award 2025. Accepted for publication in Methodology.
- Statistical tests should inform behaviour in theory and practice
- Robust tests should often be the default, not the backup
- A meta-tool for navigating causal assessment in Psychological research
FIS publication box
2024
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Avoidance of causality outside experiments: Hypotheses from cognitive dissonance reduction, Apr 2024, In: Science progress. 107 (2024), 2, 22 p.Electronic (full-text) versionResearch output: Contribution to journal > Research article
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How Large Must an Associational Mean Difference Be to Support a Causal Effect, 2024, In: Methodology. 20, 4, p. 318-335, 18 p.Electronic (full-text) versionResearch output: Contribution to journal > Research article
2023
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Means to valuable exploration II: How to explore data to modify existing claims and create new ones, Nov 2023, In: Meta-Psychology. 7, 15 p., MP.2022.3270Electronic (full-text) versionResearch output: Contribution to journal > Research article
2022
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Means to valuable exploration: I. The blending of confirmation and exploration and how to resolve it, 8 Nov 2022, In: Meta-Psychology. 6, 14 p., MP.2021.2837Electronic (full-text) versionResearch output: Contribution to journal > Research article
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The nonlinear association between grandiose and vulnerable narcissism: An individual data meta‐analysis, Oct 2022, In: Journal of personality. 90, 5, p. 703-726, 24 p.Electronic (full-text) versionResearch output: Contribution to journal > Research article
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Is Childhood Maltreatment Associated with Body Image Disturbances in Adulthood? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, Sep 2022, In: Journal of Child and Adolescent Trauma. 15, 3, p. 523-538, 16 p.Electronic (full-text) versionResearch output: Contribution to journal > Research article
2021
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Qualitative Approximations to Causality: Non-Randomizable Factors in Clinical Psychology, 21 Jun 2021, In: Clinical Psychology in Europe. 3, 2, p. 1-12, 12 p., e3873Electronic (full-text) versionResearch output: Contribution to journal > Research article
This information is provided by the FIS.
Teaching
I teach the methods module of the Master's program "Psychology with a focus on clinical psychology and psychotherapy".
Lecture topics: Measurement, associations, causality, bias due to confounding/selection/measurement/non-compliance, study design, statistical inference, measures of associations, measuring association in regression models
Seminar topics: Good scientific practice, questionable practices, Open science, confirmation vs. exploration, robust statistics, model building, longitudinal analyses
Consultation hours are in the winter semester 2025/26 on the following dates, Tue 9.20 - 10.50 in my office (room 368, Chemnitzer Str. 46), no pre-registration necessary:
21.10.2025
18.11.2025
16.12.2025
13.1.2026