May 06, 2014
The first globally complete glacier inventory has been created
For the first time ever, we have a complete inventory of all
the glaciers on Earth. Now we know how many glaciers there are,
where they are, and what their extents and volumes are. The now
available digital outlines allow for the first time reliable
calculations of the glaciers’ future development and hence
their contributions to regional hydrology and global sea-level
rise.
Thanks to the efforts of an international group of scientists –
one of them is Tobias Bolch from Technische Universität
Dresden, Germany - who have mapped all of the world’s glaciers,
glaciologists can now study with unprecedented accuracy the
impacts of a changing climate on glaciers worldwide, and
determine their total extent and volume on a glacier-by-glacier
basis. Overall, glaciers cover an area of about 730,000
km2 and have a volume of about 170,000
km3. The scientists found nearly 200,000 of them,
but they say that this is the least important result of the
mapping exercise as the number constantly changes due to
disappearing small and fragmenting larger glaciers. More
importantly, each glacier in the new inventory is represented
by a computer-readable outline, making precise modelling of
glacier–climate interactions much easier.
“This boost to the infrastructure means that people can now do
research that they simply couldn’t do properly before”, said
Graham Cogley of Trent University, one of the coordinators of
the new Randolph Glacier Inventory (RGI), which is named after
one of the group’s meeting places in New Hampshire. The now
published article is presenting the RGI and first statistical
analysis of the global glacier distribution.
The main stimulus for completing the inventory was the
recently-published Fifth Assessment of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Several studies that relied on
earlier versions of the RGI were essential sources for that
assessment. “I don't think anyone could have made meaningful
progress on projecting glacier changes if the Randolph
inventory had not been available”, said the University of
Colorado’s Tad Pfeffer, lead author of the study just published
in the Journal of Glaciology. Like several of his co-authors,
Pfeffer was also involved in the IPCC assessment.
The total extent of the glaciers in the RGI is about the size
of Germany plus Switzerland and Poland. According to several
studies, the corresponding total volume is between 35 and 47 cm
of sea-level equivalent, i.e. sea level would rise by this
amount when all glaciers would melt completely. This is less
than most earlier estimates, and less than 1% of the amount
stored in the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets. However,
barring an unlikely catastrophic ice-sheet collapse the smaller
glaciers are judged to be at much more immediate risk under the
stress of climatic change as their ice is in general already at
the melting point whereas the ice of the ice sheets has to be
warmed up to zero degrees first. Glaciers currently contribute
about 1/3 to the observed sea level rise, about the same as
both ice sheets together (the remaining third is resulting from
thermal expansion of ocean water).
“The rapid shrinkage of glaciers during the past 20 years is
also well-recognizable in the Alps and other parts of the
world”, says Frank Paul from the University of Zurich,
co-author of the study and also lead author of the first part
of the IPCC report that was published in September last year.
“Here and in other parts of the world the diminishing glaciers
also impact on regional to local scale hydrology, natural
hazards, and livelihoods in otherwise dry mountain regions.
Accurate knowledge of water reserves and their future evolution
is thus key for local authorities for early implementation of
mitigation measures”, adds his colleague Tobias Bolch who is
also researching at Technische Universität Dresden,
Germany.
The Randolph Glacier Inventory represents collaborative work of
more than 70 scientists from 18 countries. The tight schedule
of the IPCC’s assessment required rapid completion, which was
accomplished largely through relying on the unsupported efforts
of many volunteers with limited resources, the intensive use of
satellite data and the application of geoinformatic techniques.
The already existing but incomplete database of GLIMS (Global
Land Ice Measurements from Space) was an essential springboard
and contributed the baseline dataset for the RGI. Several
projects funded by space agencies such as ESA and NASA, the
Framework 7 Programme of the European Union, and several
Universities gave essential financial support to accomplish the
RGI in time. Finally, the support of the International
Association of Cryospheric Sciences (IACS) and the
International Arctic Science Council (IASC) enabled several
meetings of the coordinating group. The contribution of T.
Bolch to the RGI was funded by the ESA project Glaciers_cci,
the EU FP7 project ice2sea, and the German Research Foundation
(DFG).
Publication:
Pfeffer, W.T., Arendt, A. A., Bliss, A., Bolch, T., Cogley, J.
G., Gardner, A. S., Hagen, J.-O., Hock, R., Kaser, G.,
Kienholz, C., Miles, E. S., Moholdt, G., Mölg, N., Paul, F.,
Radic, V., Rastner, P., Raup, B. H., Rich, J., Sharp, M. J. and
the Randolph Consortium: The Randolph Glacier Inventory (2014):
a globally complete inventory of glaciers. Journal of
Glaciology 60(221), doi: 10.3189/2014JoG13J176.
http://www.igsoc.org/journal/60/221/j13J176.pdf
Photo: Ice cap in central Tibet. False colour composite, glaciers appear in blue, vegetation in green; data source: NASA, Landsat OLI; image processing: Tobias Bolch (University of Zurich/TU Dresden)
Photodownload:
1 Elephant Foot Glacier from space.
Image souce: Landsat ETM; Image editing: Tobias Bolch
(UZH/TUD).
2 Alpine glaciers on Greenland: Stauning
Alper. Image souce: Landsat ETM; Image editing: Tobias Bolch
(Universität Zürich/TU Dresden).
3 Zhadang glacier south of lake Nam Tso
on the nortern ridge of the Nyainqentanglha mountain range
(Tibet, China). Photo: Tino Pieczonka (TU Dresden)
4 Ice cap in central Tibet false colour
composite, glaciers appear in blue, vegetation in green.
Data source: NASA, Landsat OLI; image processing: Tobias
Bolch (University of Zurich/TU Dresden)
5 Rakaposhi in Karakoram (Northern
Pakistan). Photo: T. Bolch (University of Zurich /TU
Dresden)
6 Konggur Shan in East Pamir
(Xinjiang/China). Photo: T. Bolch (University of Zurich/TU
Dresden)
7 Pik Lenin Range in Pamir
(Kyrgyzstan/Tajikistan). Photo: T. Bolch (University of
Zurich/TU Dresden)
Information for journalists:
Dr. Tobias Bolch
Institute for Cartographie Technische Universität Dresden
Tel.: +41 44 6355236 oder +49 (351) 463-34809
(Secretary)